Turkey has been Islamist for many years, and for the past eight years it has been ruled by an Islamist nationalist spirit “out of apparent necessity”. Leaders’ definitions of “Islam” and “nationalism” change depending on the situation, they often use the emphasis on “faith” and “patriotism” to their liking, especially when they want to marginalize the audience . Law, freedoms, economics and foreign policy are often tempted to be explained on the basis of faith and not of democratic values. The day comes when he “puts on the table” the wave of refugees they have caused, those they call “ensar”, for the liberalization of visas, and time passes, he reveals that he does not will not hesitate to “send” when he thinks he has lost votes. While keeping the issue of interest, which he calls “Nas”, limited to the Central Bank for show, he tries to hide as much as possible that he is borrowing from the world with the highest interest rate. In several of his speeches, when the subject came to justice, Hz. He talks about Ömer, but does not hesitate to send people to prison without evidence simply because they are dissidents, or to go to the country of the person who ordered the murder of a journalist in his country and “give a picture while hugging”.
Since the 2018 elections, especially with the escalation of the economic crisis, we see that both the alliance (People’s Alliance) and the personal votes have melted away. While it’s not possible for Erdogan to say he’s definitely going to lose, it doesn’t take much expertise to see that it’s getting harder and harder to win day by day.
A fundamental question arises here. So what will come instead? Don’t immediately think of a name. That’s also important, but what kind of management style will it come from? What will the opposition show?
Let’s talk about the table of six first.
CHP, IYI Party, DEVA, Future, Felicity and Democratic Party. They do not form an alliance, at least for the moment, but they seem to “join” the presidential candidate.
Two of the six parties around the table are people who broke with the AKP. Names that served as Prime Minister, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ministry of Justice, Ministry of Economy and top bureaucracy. The establishment of the DEVA and Future parties led to the dissolution of part of the votes (less than the polls) of the AKP. Even if the votes were less resolute, they became the names that voters who remained in the AKP at least followed what they said. There is also the possibility of doing more or less in elections. Some opposition names have made efforts to keep them more out, because those of this party did not do enough self-criticism in public or closed meetings, and because their voices were weak. They partially succeeded. These parties, in turn, announced that they would stand for election with their own logos. (DEVA and the Future). Party staff explained that this decision was taken with the indoctrination of their supporters who said “Do not participate in the elections from the CHP lists”, but that there would be no pause.
Saadet party chairman Temel Karamollaoğlu has spoken of a conservative “third alliance” within the alliance. In other words, he pointed to total power (voting rate and verbal weight) where “the conservative parties will form a common front” (Saadet-DEVA-Avenir).
Let me summarize:
– The conservatives at the table of six, with their own descriptions, came together for a louder voice at the table, which would ease the concerns of “worried conservatives” who were afraid of the possible reactions of the conservatives after the AKP – they underlined their differences with the other parties.
– Incidentally, instead of the grassroots transformation effort, which they blamed for standing side by side with the CHP, the message “Look, we are entering the elections with our own logo – We are close conservatives” came their taste.
Let’s come to the IYI party, which increased its votes the fastest and most consistently. The party of “urban nationalists” which entered central politics. He is trying to recruit more moderate names from the most important universities in the world, which he has added to the personnel of the economy, to the administration of the party. Akşener’s exit after the Gezi trial was widely talked about.
Akşener is a person who “described his party towards the center or the center in a more nationalist line” and announced “the goal of being the Prime Minister of the country”. Mansur Yavaş, who is currently touted as the luckiest presidential candidate by polling companies, is the most ambitious name on the table and “candidate prime minister” Meral Akşener. Both are names of the nationalist wing.
Let me summarize:
The names and parties presented as the most important players in shaping the new era in Turkey are the “new town nationalists”…
– Mansur Yavaş is described as “a person who only concentrates on his work in the municipality and does not engage in politics”. Indeed it is, but he says “I’m here” with his May 3, Turkism Day tweet.
-Although Akşener describes himself as a person who only aims to be Prime Minister, he also tries to be the most effective name to determine the presidential candidate. He does not hesitate to remind his alliance partner from time to time “you could not have won the local elections without us”.
Let’s come first, the administration which made the IYI party participate in the elections with its borrowed deputies, made great efforts in the establishment of the National Alliance, in the formation of the local electoral strategy and in its protection against disintegration, took responsibility for the six-man side-by-side, opened the party to self-criticism with the rhetoric of “halalizing” the conservatives to the Kurds, and CHP chairman Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, who transformed the base…
He did not put forward the “left social-democratic rhetoric” so as not to break the alliance and not to disperse the table of six. It was important that the names he defined as “raising a flag against neo-liberal policies” or “gangs of five” aimed to nationalize their projects recently. However, not included in the table; It will be important for the Kurdish voter to become the voice of the women’s movement and the environment and the labor sector.
Let me end with a general summary:
In the next elections;
We will have an agenda centered on nationalist discourse.
It is certain that the power will go towards a new challenge to the West. With the text of the decision, which was drafted jointly by the Christian Democrat, Social Democrat, Liberal, Green and Left groups in the European Parliament yesterday, the message that the government’s position on the Kavala case has ended complete Turkey’s EU accession process, gave Erdogan a chance to make another speech after the elections. I am sure you will enjoy using it.
– On the other hand, it is a fact that the discourse-posture of “nationalism” is beginning to weigh on an important part of the opposition.
– Turkey faces a “new narrative and a new nationalist team” as an alternative to power… Add to that worried conservatives. If the social democratic philosophy cannot be added to the nationalist and conservative vision, if a balance cannot be struck, it will have a negative effect. It is important to show solidarity and lead Turkey towards democracy. But those you interact with aren’t giving up on their ideological sensitivities, and if you’re constantly trying to be orderly, that can cause trouble too. The left leg of the table that I could see was short.