Why did Peker ring again?

Sedat Peker, an organized crime convict who fled Turkey and ‘compulsory residency’ in the United Arab Emirates after being warned to ‘flee’, appeared on social media again last week after his long absence.

After leaving Turkey, Peker traveled first to the Balkans, then to Morocco and finally to the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

Peker’s most prominent target in his video broadcasts and social media posts was Interior Minister Süleyman Soylu. Soylu tried to save the day in several TV shows in which he participated. However, he saw that the situation is getting worse rather than saving, he spoke in no other environment than the budget negotiations in Parliament. He tried to manage the developments in a null and void way.

Peker, who does not hesitate to use definitions that are not even elegant when speaking or writing about any interior minister, fell silent at the end of last summer.

By the way, let me remind you; No judicial or administrative investigation has been opened into Peker’s allegations. All those responsible for these cases – no doubt out of concern because the investigations reveal more substantial dimensions – have chosen to lie to each other. Only a judicial inquiry has been opened. It is also the politician Soylu who claims to have received $10,000. The fate of this investigation is still unknown.

Physical and digital isolation

Afterwards, he preferred to inform through indirect channels. The reason for this preference was undoubtedly Turkey’s diplomatic initiative with the United Arab Emirates. After Turkey notified the UAE administration that Peker was under scrutiny, for which a warrant was issued, Peker was taken under scrutiny along with his family. Due to the residency condition, his direct and indirect messages were interrupted.

Thus, Peker has been placed in digital and physical isolation since last fall. He gave messages to the Turkish public from time to time only through his lawyer.

The situation between Turkey and the United Arab Emirates regarding the situation of the head of the criminal organization was mentioned in Magnificent last February. I transfered.

Turkey’s strategy towards Peker is “I want him, you don’t give him away, but don’t send him somewhere else!” it happened.

Reason for re-expression

This strategy worked well until last week.

However, Peker again delivered the “I’m here” message, albeit indirectly, in the final days of April.

He started forwarding some of the messages about him to his followers on his social media account.

So what happened to make Peker give voice again?

Of course, the reason Peker became active is not a legal development about him. For the most important reason for launching the process, one must look at President Erdogan’s visit to Saudi Arabia with a large delegation in the last days of Ramadan.

Before starting this section, I must make a brief introduction.

To know; The relationship between the UAE and Saudi Arabia is similar to the relationship between Turkey and Greece. Both administrations are US allies in the region. The United States has influence over both the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia.

The power of Abu Dhabi in the UAE

Relations between the governments of Abu Dhabi and Riyadh, which are on the axis of the United States on the international scene, are, so to speak, lemony. One good, one bad. It is an aspect of the job.

The other aspect is that the administration of the United Arab Emirates is in the emirate of Abu Dhabi. Although Dubai seems to be ahead, it is the emirate of Abu Dhabi that has a say in the UAE. The fact that 90% of the oil comes out of Abu Dhabi guarantees that the presidency is in Abu Dhabi.

Let’s remember; Relations with the United Arab Emirates had entered a new era, while Turkey had bloody knives with Saudi Arabia over the murder of Khashoggi. The coldness had disappeared.

In fact, at Interpol’s 89th General Assembly, convened in Istanbul last November, Turkey even lobbied as host for UAE General Ahmed Nasser al-Reisi, accused of torture, to win. . El Reisi won around 70% of the vote and became president of Interpol.

El Reisi’s presence at the number one headquarters of the International Police Organization played an important role in Turkey’s favor by keeping Peker living in the United Arab Emirates under control.

As I said, Peker could breathe in this process only in the United Arab Emirates. He was lucky to be with his family. Until Erdogan’s visit to Riyadh!

Erdogan in Mecca, Peker on the Internet

What a coincidence, back when Erdogan was performing Umrah in Makkah, Peker gave a voice, albeit weak, to the UAE.

He broke his silence by sending his social media posts to his followers from his personal account.

I think it would be naïve to think of the long-isolated Peker breaking his silence as a “personal act.”

Experts who follow diplomacy closely will of course know better.

In my opinion, the truth is that the UAE administration is “not showing the stick under the hood” to the Erdogan administration, which is trying to turn over a new leaf with Saudi Arabia.

Now, it is likely that Turkey will take a “sincere” approach to the UAE this time. Maybe contact will be made through political units, maybe security.

Because ignoring the situation or being stubborn will not bring results in favor of Turkey.

Otherwise, the process of displaying the video recordings that Peker would have kept could speed up.

This is probably the last thing the government would want to happen these days.

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